Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.6% on 7 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 291 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2025 to 24 Nov 2025, the highest close was 8.6% on 22 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.3 points up, to 8.6% on 22 Nov 2025. $1.02M traded over the market's life.
69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 25, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 291 points, 7 Feb 2025 – 24 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2025 | 3.6% |
| 24 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 225.24K |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 11.62K |
| yizhiyang-jianlaji | Yes | 10K |
The 2025 election for half of the seats in Argentina's Chamber of Deputies is scheduled to be held on October 26, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of the seats that are contested in this election. If voting in the next Argentine election for the Chamber of Deputies does not occur by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Argentina's government (e.g. via https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-party-wins-most-seats-in-argentina-deputies-election
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 4.06K |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 3.51K |
| Misty Raven BBC0 | Yes | 3.42K |
| agustin | Yes | 2.4K |
| lissartter | Yes | 2.38K |
| Inthetrench | Yes | 2K |
| MariaWry | Yes | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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