Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 15.69 | $0.973 | $15.27 | May 3, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 15.28 |
| $0.968 |
| $14.79 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by March 31?No | buy | 14.79 | $0.969 | $14.33 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?No | buy | 14.33 | $0.963 | $13.8 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by January 31?No | buy | 13.8 | $0.980 | $13.52 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | buy | 13.52 | $0.985 | $13.32 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?No | buy | 13.32 | $0.985 | $13.12 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 13.12 | $0.988 | $12.96 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Congress extends Trump's DC takeover?No | buy | 12.97 | $0.978 | $12.68 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Cluely CEO Roy Lee get a girlfriend by August 31?No | buy | 12.68 | $0.988 | $12.52 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 12.52 | $0.989 | $12.38 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?No | buy | 12.39 | $0.989 | $12.25 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before July?No | buy | 12.25 | $0.987 | $12.09 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by June meeting?No | buy | 12.09 | $0.977 | $11.81 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 60°F or below on June 4?No | buy | 11.81 | $0.993 | $11.73 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?No | buy | 11.73 | $0.983 | $11.53 | May 24, 2025 |
 Record low border encounters in April?No | buy | 11.52 | $0.999 | $11.51 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose film tariff by Friday?No | buy | 11.51 | $0.977 | $11.25 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will China confirm trade negotiations have begun by next Friday?No | buy | 11.25 | $0.989 | $11.13 | May 2, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran in April?No | buy | 11.13 | $0.986 | $10.97 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Dogecoin above $0.18 on April 4?No | buy | 10.97 | $0.998 | $10.95 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 $jellyjelly FDV over $50m on Friday?No | buy | 10.95 | $0.989 | $10.83 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?No | buy | 10.83 | $0.967 | $10.47 | Mar 8, 2025 |