Analytics
Resolved No on 10 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 7 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 7 May 2025 to 10 May 2025, the highest close was 4.5% on 7 May 2025 and the lowest 0.8% on 10 May 2025. $32.53K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 7 May 2025 – 10 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 May 2025 | 4.5% |
| 10 May 2025 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| freedaaron | Yes | 202 |
| userbett | Yes | 60 |
| pokethebear | Yes | 0.02 |
| bigboops | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On May 4, Donald Trump posted that he would impose a 100% film tariff (see:https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114452117143235155) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a tariff on foreign films by May 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tariffs specifically targeting films will qualify. For example, a general tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or country-specific tariff (tariffs on all imports from a specific country, e.g., Canada or China) will not count toward this market's resolution. Tariffs on films from a specific country will qualify. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-impose-film-tariff-by-friday
| lestAAAA | No | 0.01 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 0.01 |
| theamityaff | No | 0.01 |
| NiGriMa671 | No | 0.01 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 0.01 |
| 30XA | No | 0.01 |
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