Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.6%. Yes opened at 83.5% on 8 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 8 Apr 2025 to 18 Jun 2025, the highest close was 83.5% on 8 Apr 2025 and the lowest 1.7% on 7 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 35% on 3 May 2025. $344.41K traded over the market's life.
82 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 8 Apr 2025 – 18 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Apr 2025 | 83.5% |
| 18 Jun 2025 | 2.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MrWilliam | Yes | 10.92K |
| MisterD | Yes | 10.62K |
| WhitneyHouston | Yes | 8.95K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between April 7 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for June 2025, currently scheduled for June 17 - 18. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-june-meeting
| Yes |
| 6.86K |
| batacone | Yes | 6.67K |
| secretuser | Yes | 6.33K |
| Quiet Lynx D0D8 | Yes | 5.47K |
| Glass-Dryer | Yes | 5.23K |
| altern8 | Yes | 2.92K |
| donnyboy | Yes | 2.57K |
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