Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 159.75 | $0.050 | $8.01 | Jan 30, 2026 |
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Glass-Dryer is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #3,019,432 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$1.32K observed lifetime PnL, 33 distinct markets, 29 resolved positions, a 17.2% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x47715808009fbb74e84de108f04989358e4d1c20
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 27.45 |
| $0.360 |
| $9.88 |
| Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 27.45 | $0.510 | $14 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.24K | $0.055 | $231.32 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 108.11 | $0.259 | $28 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by June meeting?Yes | buy | 5.18K | $0.029 | $150 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 791.76 | $0.227 | $179.77 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by June meeting?Yes | buy | 49.69 | $0.020 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.27K | $0.220 | $500 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 800.11 | $0.195 | $156 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 92.31 | $0.195 | $18 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.100 | $24 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 322.58 | $0.310 | $100 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?Yes | sell | 314.28 | $0.033 | $10.4 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.920 | $13.14 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?Yes | buy | 314.29 | $0.035 | $11 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 323.09 | $0.034 | $11 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.044 | $10 | Nov 8, 2024 |
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp) Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Who will win the debate according to polls?Trump | buy | 76.3 | $0.270 | $20.6 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 39.76 | $0.518 | $20.6 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will threadguy interview Trump before October?No | buy | 0.72 | $0.720 | $0.52 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Will Ex-Amazon VP reveal who seduced his wife?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | buy | 192.96 | $0.026 | $5 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 39.76 | $0.503 | $20 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times at his Arizona speech?No | buy | 30.45 | $0.066 | $2 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "drill baby drill" at his Arizona speech?Yes | buy | 10.11 | $0.494 | $5 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "World War 3" at his Arizona speech?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "drill baby drill" at his Arizona speech?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "alien" 3 or more times at his Arizona speech?No | buy | 51.5 | $0.194 | $10 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?No | sell | 90.9 | $0.600 | $54.54 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet between 100-109 times?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.085 | $10 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Ex-Amazon VP reveal who seduced his wife?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 No Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.052 | $10 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before September?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.400 | $15 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will $BTC reach 70k before September?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Ex-Amazon VP reveal who seduced his wife?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.130 | $50 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.