Analytics
Resolved No on 12 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95%. Yes opened at 55.5% on 29 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2025 to 12 May 2025, the highest close was 55.5% on 29 Apr 2025 and the lowest 5% on 12 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 5.9% on 11 May 2025. $103.51K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 14, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 29 Apr 2025 – 12 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2025 | 55.5% |
| 12 May 2025 | 5.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In February 2025 (FYTD) there were 28,654 border encounters, the lowest on record (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 28,654 for April 2025 (FYTD). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first report of data for April 2025, regardless of future revisions. If no data is posted for April 2025 (FYTD) by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/record-low-border-encounters-in-april
| DonPanic | No | 0.07 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 0.04 |
| Haradwaith | No | 0.02 |
| TYriplecheese | No | 0.01 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
