Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 5 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 5 Feb 2025 to 16 Mar 2025, the highest close was 48.5% on 5 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 33.5% on 6 Feb 2025. $341.89K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 2:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 5 Feb 2025 – 16 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2025 | 48.5% |
| 16 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| asafpopritkin | Yes | 410.02 |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 400 |
| Themac72 | Yes | 66.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas between February 4, and March 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Israel and/or Hamas, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-phase-ii-by-march-15
| Yes |
| 66.67 |
| dovissmart | Yes | 34.74 |
| focusvz | Yes | 5 |
| blyagha | No | 0.04 |
| Trashstar | No | 0.04 |
| otencrtu | No | 0.02 |
| Euan | No | 0.02 |
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