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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 665.57 | $0.021 | $13.77 | Jan 25, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 364.28 |
| $0.040 |
| $14.57 |
| Jan 25, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 364.29 | $0.070 | $25.5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 766.39 | $0.033 | $25.5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 766.39 | $0.021 | $16.34 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 48.07 | $0.340 | $16.34 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 48.08 | $0.380 | $18.27 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?Yes | sell | 48.98 | $0.004 | $0.2 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 16.56 | $0.450 | $7.45 | Mar 23, 2025 |
Trump bans China from buying US farmland?Yes | sell | 12.93 | $0.248 | $3.2 | Mar 23, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 281.79 | $0.028 | $7.89 | Mar 11, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 107.99 | $0.028 | $3 | Mar 11, 2025 |
Will the US sanction Russia before May?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Bronny score a point against the Celtics?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 9?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 8?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.045 | $3 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Trump bans China from buying US farmland?Yes | buy | 12.93 | $0.232 | $3 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.025 | $3 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?Yes | buy | 43.54 | $0.023 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.063 | $2 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 68.08 | $0.424 | $28.89 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 34.75 | $0.200 | $6.95 | Mar 6, 2025 |
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?Yes | sell | 13.9 | $0.500 | $6.95 | Mar 6, 2025 |
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?Yes | buy | 10.57 | $0.350 | $3.7 | Mar 4, 2025 |
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?No | sell | 5.69 | $0.650 | $3.7 | Mar 4, 2025 |
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?No | buy | 5.7 | $0.330 | $1.88 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Feb 5, 2025 |
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Feb 3, 2025 |
Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jan 31, 2025 |
Will any Democratic Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 31, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will Pete Buttigieg announce Michigan Senate run before March?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Jan 29, 2025 |