Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.8%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 30 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2025 to 13 Feb 2025, the highest close was 26.5% on 7 Feb 2025 and the lowest 2.3% on 13 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 8.5% on 8 Feb 2025. $112.66K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 14, 4:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 30 Jan 2025 – 13 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2025 | 19.5% |
| 13 Feb 2025 | 2.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| orange11677 | Yes | 4.5K |
| 0xLeonadis | Yes | 1K |
| tachdoc | Yes | 831.01 |
| Crocsnsocks | Yes | 713.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Democratic senator votes to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. in the first roll-call vote over his confirmation as Secretary of Health and Human Services. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with. If another individual is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Robert Kennedy Jr. is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Secretary of Health and Human Services without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-democratic-senator-vote-to-confirm-rfk-jr
| Sanderman456 | Yes | 59 |
| Flaky-Entree | Yes | 40 |
| Zakethekid | Yes | 34.99 |
| Cormac | Yes | 20 |
| Rlyonnna | No | 1.44 |
| ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes | 0.06 |
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