Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 17% on 29 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 18.5% on 4 Feb 2025 and the low 0.5% on 27 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 18.5% on 4 Feb 2025. $6.88K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 7:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 32 points · 29 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2025 | 17.0% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| worldkoala | Yes | 885.93 |
| KLMR | Yes | 394.44 |
| HotDogs | No | 0.02 |
| neverfeesplease | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former United States Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg announces that he is running for Senator from Michigan in the 2026 midterm election, between January 27, and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Pete Buttigieg will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Pete Buttigieg (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-pete-buttigieg-announce-michigan-senate-run-before-march
| antoshkavlasio | No | 0.01 |
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