Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 20 | $0.700 | $15.17 | +$1.17 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.517 | $15.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.100 |
| $1.53 |
| -$3.48 |
| buy |
| 60 |
| $0.050 |
| $3 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.230 | $9.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 20 | $0.465 | $9.3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.495 | $4.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.101 | $2.12 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.400 | $15 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 17.83 | $0.561 | $10 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.370 | $1.82 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.910 | $1.82 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 34.13 | $0.142 | $4.86 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 3 | $0.910 | $2.73 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.910 | $1.82 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?Ukraine | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.418 | $4.18 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.314 | $1.57 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.570 | $1.02 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.294 | $6.17 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 60 | $0.962 | $57.72 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.949 | $9.49 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.4 | $0.160 | $1.02 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Trump x Elon talk before August?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon register the America Party in July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?No | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?No | sell | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | sell | 106 | $0.012 | $1.27 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.070 | $2.63 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?No | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.073 | $1.46 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?No | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Jun 25, 2025 |