Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 64% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 16 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 16 Jan 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 3 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 72% on 5 Dec 2025. $258.03K traded over the market's life.
83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 17, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 16 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 64.0% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Horrible-Blazer | No | 1.77K |
| babushka29 | No | 1.6K |
| hifhuf | No | 1.41K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration formally announces the establishment of the “Board of Peace” (or a clearly equivalent oversight board fulfilling the same role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, resolve “No.” Only official policy announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. A consensus of credible reporting confirming that the “Board of Peace” or equivalent Gaza oversight board has been established, includes U.S. participation and is operational will also qualify. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-establish-a-gaza-board-of-peace-by-march-31
| Yes |
| 1.29K |
| ajaxalk | No | 1.01K |
| VdBellen | No | 802.58 |
| Topg2837 | No | 697.66 |
| Loving-Citron | No | 524.99 |
| Tangible-Passbook | No | 522.22 |
| kandinsky | No | 340 |
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