Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 997.11 | $0.830 | $966.7 | +$139.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.240 | $120 | 5d ago |
|
| No |
| 1K |
| $0.875 |
| $812.5 |
| -$62.5 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 3K | $0.240 | $615 | -$105 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1K | $0.420 | $465 | +$45 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 500 | $0.830 | $437.5 | +$22.5 |
| buy |
| 2.5K |
| $0.240 |
| $600 |
| 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.420 | $420 | 9d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1K | $0.875 | $875 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.830 | $415 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | buy | 102 | $0.870 | $88.74 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.780 | $936 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.850 | $850 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.850 | $1.28K | May 29, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.58 | $0.640 | $6.77 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 620.12 | $0.040 | $25 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.941 | $470.5 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 997.11 | $0.830 | $827.6 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.800 | $64 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 350 | $0.850 | $297.5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 600 | $0.790 | $474 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.790 | $316 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.900 | $41.4 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 700 | $0.940 | $658 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.940 | $376 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.910 | $23.66 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 794.19 | $0.852 | $676.69 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 340.86 | $0.924 | $315 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 502.74 | $0.630 | $316.73 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 376.52 | $0.398 | $150 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 357.14 | $0.840 | $300 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | sell | 203.73 | $0.795 | $161.97 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No | buy | 107.99 | $0.926 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 203.73 | $0.800 | $162.93 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 417.72 | $0.886 | $370 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 452.72 | $0.884 | $400 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.390 | $500 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.390 | $500 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 341.47 | $0.878 | $299.8 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.91K | $0.382 | $1.11K | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | sell | 3.43K | $0.271 | $931.15 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.320 | $600 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 680.79 | $0.294 | $200 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 349.97 | $0.286 | $100 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.08K | $0.480 | $519.52 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 426.01 | $0.711 | $302.94 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 232.72 | $0.520 | $121.01 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 498.4 | $0.261 | $130 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 144.44 | $0.947 | $136.75 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 162.07 | $0.290 | $47 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.310 | $500 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 1.87K | $0.267 | $500 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.14K | $0.910 | $1.03K | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 1.68K | $0.593 | $1K | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.290 | $300 | Jan 8, 2026 |