Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 70% on 7 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 87 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 70% on 7 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 58.5% on 8 Jul 2025. $135.62K traded over the market's life.
94 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 7 Jul 2025 – 1 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2025 | 70.0% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether Elon Musk will officially register the America Party by the specified date.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-register-the-america-party-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1.72K |
| Squallstyle | Yes | 1.09K |
| 0x01BTC10 | Yes | 762 |
| Lev188 | Yes | 627.72 |
| ellaOTD | Yes | 622.44 |
| Carlosalexander | Yes | 606.89 |
| bronson | Yes | 303.2 |
