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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 142.02 | $0.352 | $121.43 | +$71.43 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?No | sell | 70.56 | $0.320 | $22.58 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 93.7 |
| $0.533 |
| $81.05 |
| +$31.05 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 81.22 | $0.507 | $69.85 | +$28.69 |
 Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 84.53 | $0.591 | $67.62 | +$17.63 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 80.76 | $0.130 | $64.2 | +$53.71 |
 SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? | OpenAI | 124.39 | $0.110 | $57.66 | +$43.97 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 94.73 | $0.528 | $54.47 | +$4.47 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 55.72 | $0.538 | $52.15 | +$22.16 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 55.04 | $0.545 | $48.16 | +$18.17 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 55.92 | $0.713 | $44.18 | +$4.29 |
 Spain snap election called in 2026? | No | 54.26 | $0.469 | $43.41 | +$17.94 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 47.6 | $0.630 | $39.27 | +$9.28 |
 Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 44.16 | $0.230 | $38.46 | +$28.31 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.600 | $34.6 | +$10.6 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 55.55 | $0.180 | $33.89 | +$23.89 |
 Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? | No | 33.64 | $0.713 | $33.02 | +$9.02 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 33.8 | $0.710 | $31.94 | +$7.95 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 34.78 | $0.690 | $31.48 | +$7.48 |
| Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? | No | 36.06 | $0.717 | $31.01 | +$5.17 |
 Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | No | 33.84 | $0.230 | $30.96 | +$23.18 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 35.55 | $0.675 | $30.04 | +$6.04 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 34.37 | $0.579 | $29.9 | +$9.99 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 31.1 | $0.708 | $29.7 | +$7.69 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 33.57 | $0.715 | $28.03 | +$4.04 |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 33.24 | $0.606 | $26.59 | +$6.44 |
| sell |
| 5.86 |
| $0.380 |
| $2.23 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?No | sell | 37.2 | $0.380 | $14.14 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?No | sell | 25.98 | $0.500 | $12.99 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?No | sell | 18 | $0.330 | $5.94 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | sell | 85.29 | $0.320 | $27.29 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $1.9B?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.074 | $0.41 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.086 | $0.09 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?No | sell | 24.39 | $0.120 | $2.93 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.3B?No | sell | 8 | $0.070 | $0.56 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.2B?No | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?No | sell | 24.39 | $0.100 | $2.44 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?No | sell | 95.29 | $0.022 | $2.14 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of June?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.550 | $11.95 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of June?No | sell | 27.77 | $0.100 | $2.78 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B?No | sell | 21.27 | $0.744 | $15.82 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Micron (MU) close above $960 end of June?No | sell | 26.35 | $0.125 | $3.29 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?No | sell | 27.77 | $0.440 | $12.22 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of June?No | sell | 41.65 | $0.110 | $4.58 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. KaneKane | sell | 267.53 | $0.446 | $119.26 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 end of June?No | sell | 263.87 | $0.127 | $33.46 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?No | sell | 68.78 | $0.990 | $68.09 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 600 | $0.200 | $120 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk attend UFC Freedom 250?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.990 | $0.08 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No | sell | 12 | $0.991 | $11.89 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?No | sell | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of June?No | sell | 166.66 | $0.059 | $9.85 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?No | sell | 306.24 | $0.037 | $11.37 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | sell | 20.82 | $0.550 | $11.45 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?No | sell | 95.22 | $0.210 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?No | sell | 10.51 | $0.510 | $5.36 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.460 | $1.7 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?No | sell | 12.08 | $0.266 | $3.21 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No | sell | 21.26 | $0.346 | $7.35 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?No | sell | 18.5 | $0.433 | $8.02 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.230 | $0.3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 30?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.600 | $1.07 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 14.71 | $0.220 | $3.24 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No | sell | 19.62 | $0.580 | $11.38 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.4B?No | sell | 21.27 | $0.420 | $8.93 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.9B?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.410 | $9.53 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?No | sell | 21.27 | $0.460 | $9.78 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.341 | $7.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.300 | $6.98 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.180 | $4.09 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 8 above $205?No | sell | 24.39 | $0.300 | $7.32 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No | sell | 30.28 | $0.282 | $8.55 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?No | sell | 32.25 | $0.238 | $7.67 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.280 | $9.33 | Jun 9, 2026 |