Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?Yes | buy | 27.44 | $0.999 | $27.41 | 11d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 28 |
| $0.999 |
| $27.97 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
 Over $2M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.998 | $32.93 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 23 | $0.994 | $22.86 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 198 | $0.999 | $197.8 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.976 | $30.26 | May 24, 2026 |
 Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 61.93 | $0.992 | $61.43 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by March 31?No | buy | 33.3 | $0.994 | $33.1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by February 28?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.997 | $33.23 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 97.8 | $0.999 | $97.7 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | buy | 50 | $0.973 | $48.65 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% in 2025?No | buy | 29.8 | $0.998 | $29.74 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.996 | $21.65 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?Yes | buy | 36.04 | $0.999 | $36 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 29.18 | $0.994 | $29 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 28.44 | $0.994 | $28.27 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?No | buy | 21.27 | $0.998 | $21.23 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 28.22 | $0.974 | $27.49 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?No | buy | 17.35 | $0.940 | $16.31 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 80 times May 30–June 6?No | buy | 26.31 | $0.997 | $26.23 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30?No | buy | 28.09 | $0.999 | $28.06 | May 28, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?Up | buy | 28.06 | $0.997 | $27.98 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 2–9?No | buy | 17.98 | $0.998 | $17.94 | May 4, 2025 |
 X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 17.94 | $0.999 | $17.92 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?Up | buy | 38.8 | $0.969 | $37.6 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 17.84 | $0.998 | $17.8 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?No | buy | 12.12 | $0.998 | $12.1 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 26.94 | $0.991 | $26.7 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?No | buy | 48.95 | $0.999 | $48.9 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Was Milei hacked?No | buy | 17.82 | $0.999 | $17.8 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk tweet less than 300 times February 7-14?No | buy | 30.32 | $0.997 | $30.23 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will StepFun have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.998 | $16 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 26.13 | $0.995 | $26 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 106.1 | $0.997 | $105.78 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Jan 10-17?No | buy | 43.04 | $0.999 | $43 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | buy | 1.87K | $0.001 | $1.87 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested by Friday?No | buy | 70.53 | $0.992 | $69.97 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 29.76 | $0.993 | $29.55 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 19.98 | $0.987 | $19.72 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No | buy | 39.24 | $0.999 | $39.2 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Will Berachain launch a token in November?No | buy | 19.96 | $0.980 | $19.56 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 200 times November 15-22?No | buy | 58.76 | $0.999 | $58.7 | Nov 17, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 150-174 times November 8-15?No | buy | 28.76 | $0.998 | $28.7 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 475-499 times November 1-8?No | buy | 58.65 | $0.999 | $58.59 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet less than 30 times Nov 1-8?No | buy | 38.61 | $0.999 | $38.57 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 10-19 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?No | buy | 58.55 | $0.999 | $58.49 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Scroll airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 58.49 | $0.990 | $57.91 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Elon Musk as Satoshi?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.999 | $20.08 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 125-149 times?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.998 | $20.04 | Oct 1, 2024 |