
Resolved No on 7 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 7% on 4 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2025 to 7 Jan 2025, the highest close was 7.5% on 5 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 7 Jan 2025. $231.3K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 8, 1:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 4 Jan 2025 – 7 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | 7.0% |
| 7 Jan 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 101.17K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 1.24K |
| enochsmiles | Yes | 1.19K |
| barmnokbpmxd | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between December 3 and January 10.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-january-3-january-10
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| LoraK | Yes | 999.98 |
| YotDeYot | Yes | 642.55 |
| Vthink | Yes | 300 |
| Gaolao | Yes | 200 |
| cago69 | Yes | 122.12 |
| Mortified-Musculature | Yes | 100 |