Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 95% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 13 Nov 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 95% on 21 Oct 2025. $692.62K traded over the market's life.
142 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 13 Nov 2025, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 95.0% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hanniphampani | No | 20.59K |
| Crimson Meteor F08D | No | 13.67K |
| ....2 | No | 10.01K |
| ckzvn | No | 9.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-government-shutdown-end-by-763
| IndonesiaCommunity | No | 9.98K |
| EternalJourney | No | 5.92K |
| ansase | No | 5.45K |
| Lighter. | No | 5K |
| ElMariachiWey | No | 3.06K |
| ApexDrift | No | 2.56K |
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