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Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 3.7% on 28 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 3.7% on 28 Sep 2024 and the low 0.3% on 1 Oct 2024. $52.76K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 7:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 28 Sep 2024 – 1 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2024 | 3.7% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.59K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 953.02 |
| elizabethiva | Yes | 141 |
| wintertonrafel | Yes | 136 |
| Jogman | Yes | 62.5 |
| kaii | Yes | 48.17 |
| Trashmin | Yes | 18.33 |
| scrimple | No | 0.08 |
| Cloudy-Felony | No | 0.03 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between September 27 and October 4.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-sept-27-oct-4
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