Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.040 | $1.08 | Feb 25, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 6.66 |
| $0.130 |
| $0.87 |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Eli Lilly" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.020 | $0.29 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will the State of the Union be 150 minutes or longer?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.230 | $1.5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Somalia" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will the State of the Union be 150 minutes or longer?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will the State of the Union be 180 minutes or longer?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Eli Lilly" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 164.5 | $0.140 | $23.03 | Oct 7, 2024 |
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross less than $24m opening weekend?Yes | sell | 1.49K | $0.001 | $2.09 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will JD Vance say "Kamala Harris" 15 or more times during the debate?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz say "Couch" during the debate?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.070 | $7.5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz say "Haitian" during the debate?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz say "Racist" during the debate?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz say "Trump" 20 or more times during the debate?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet 100-124 times?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet 125-149 times?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.024 | $1.5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times?Yes | buy | 2.83K | $0.002 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Diddy sex tape released before November?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.057 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross between $24m and $31m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.014 | $2.5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross less than $24m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 308.33 | $0.008 | $2.5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "Israel" during her Nevada speech?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "inflation" 3+ times during her Nevada speech?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will California pass SB 1047 AI safety bill?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.680 | $5.5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.230 | $34.5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross less than $24m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
US adds between 100k and 150k jobs in September?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.250 | $55 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross less than $24m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross between $24m and $31m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 371.43 | $0.013 | $5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.890 | $1.5 | Sep 29, 2024 |