Latest trade
Sep 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:47 PM UTC.
Analytics
Sharp-Tripod has made $98.04 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 28 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:47 PM UTC.
$5.5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 66.0% were buys. They run from Jan 3, 2026 UTC to Sep 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 555.04 | $0.090 | $27.75 | -$22.25 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.059 | $2.95 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-19 09:21 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 12:47 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 12:47 UTC
polymarket positions
30 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-19 09:21 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $160.82 and losing ones cost $26.37 across 28 settled positions. 78.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $50.56 on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?” (Yes); the largest loss, $9.7 on “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Sep 2026. It has traded 41 markets. Its open positions are worth $57.36 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 158.74 |
| $0.265 |
| $24.37 |
| -$17.63 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 69.44 | $0.360 | $2.67 | -$22.33 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 59.07 | $0.059 | $1.27 | -$2.21 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.200 | $1.1 | -$2.9 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.130 | $0.2 | -$6.3 |
| buy |
| 9.07 |
| $0.058 |
| $0.53 |
| Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.44 | $0.360 | $25 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | buy | 555.04 | $0.090 | $50 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 78.74 | $0.254 | $20 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.570 | $31.66 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 46.15 | $0.996 | $45.97 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.270 | $12.27 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.330 | $15 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 46.15 | $0.650 | $30 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.275 | $22 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.130 | $20.8 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?No | sell | 80 | $0.940 | $75.2 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.029 | $2.9 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.935 | $9.35 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.300 | $4.5 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.030 | $6 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 72.86 | $0.999 | $72.79 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 2.13 | $0.999 | $2.13 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 8.41 | $0.999 | $8.4 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 83.4 | $0.998 | $83.23 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.170 | $5.1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.46 | $0.360 | $4.13 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 8.53 | $0.360 | $3.07 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
 US strike on Colombia by January 31?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.048 | $1.01 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.350 | $14 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.78 | $0.230 | $0.41 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.230 | $1.19 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.230 | $0.6 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.