Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 106.65 | $0.660 | $83.72 | +$13.36 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 40.41 | $0.611 | $24.69 | 10d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 40.41 |
| $0.611 |
| $24.53 |
| -$0.16 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 39.22 | $0.510 | $9.61 | -$10.39 |
| buy |
| 25.15 |
| $0.890 |
| $22.38 |
| Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 45.2 | $0.940 | $42.49 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 45.08 | $0.930 | $41.92 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 32.59 | $0.680 | $22.16 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | sell | 54.05 | $0.410 | $22.16 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 61.13 | $0.680 | $41.57 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 42.16 | $0.986 | $41.57 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 4.91 | $0.550 | $2.7 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 31.58 | $0.950 | $30 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.105 | $52.7 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.02 | $0.490 | $3.93 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | sell | 12.29 | $0.320 | $3.93 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 47.27 | $0.550 | $26 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.130 | $26 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 52.74 | $0.890 | $46.94 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | sell | 44.25 | $0.410 | $18.14 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.120 | $28.8 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | buy | 44.25 | $0.360 | $15.93 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 133.84 | $0.119 | $15.92 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 238.96 | $0.126 | $30.07 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 130.16 | $0.154 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 451.38 | $0.111 | $50 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | sell | 103.62 | $0.966 | $100.07 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 253.35 | $0.092 | $23.2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | sell | 24.09 | $0.963 | $23.2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.947 | $22.82 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 103.63 | $0.965 | $100 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | sell | 13.31 | $0.994 | $13.23 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | sell | 43.49 | $0.992 | $43.12 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | sell | 66.74 | $0.996 | $66.47 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 13.32 | $0.940 | $12.52 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 43.49 | $0.920 | $40 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 66.74 | $0.899 | $60 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)Yes | sell | 112.63 | $0.999 | $112.52 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)Yes | buy | 112.64 | $0.882 | $99.37 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?No | buy | 26.19 | $0.420 | $11 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April?Yes | sell | 22.58 | $0.024 | $0.54 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Trudeau out before April?Yes | buy | 36.97 | $0.700 | $25.88 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 26.65 | $0.971 | $25.88 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 26.65 | $0.950 | $25.32 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April?Yes | buy | 22.58 | $0.886 | $20 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 GPT-5 released in 2024?No | sell | 46.58 | $0.973 | $45.32 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| GPT-5 released in 2024?No | buy | 46.59 | $0.963 | $44.87 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Canada federal election in 2024?No | sell | 14.04 | $0.974 | $13.67 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No | sell | 31.88 | $0.976 | $31.11 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 81.82 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Nov 8, 2024 |