Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.7%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 287 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2025 to 6 Oct 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 18 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 70% on 4 Dec 2025. $277.4K traded over the market's life.
159 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 287 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 59.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 96.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 61.19K |
| flawfence | No | 14K |
| Humble-Monk | No | 11.17K |
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/quebec-general-election-winner
| yukonboi | No | 4K |
| DumbDumb | No | 3.4K |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 3.03K |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | No | 2.89K |
| Daisyninja | Yes | 2.89K |
| MarioG.G. | No | 2.31K |
| HerrieDavis | No | 1.6K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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