Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 9:22 PM UTC.
Analytics
estuprador has made $3.47K on Polymarket, #34,337 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 9:22 PM UTC.
$107.15 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 19 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Oct 12, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 15.2K | $0.956 | $14.68K | +$153.28 |
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?No | buy | 212.26 | $0.990 | $210.09 | 7h ago |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 18:07 UTC
Polymarket public position response
17 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 21:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 21:22 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-21 20:08 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.15K and losing ones cost $382.06 across the latest 50 settled positions. 84% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $591.85 on “Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (No); the largest loss, $85.45 on “Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video?” (Yes).
It first traded on 26 Mar 2026 and most recently on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 240 markets. Its open positions are worth $24.78K across 17 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 5K |
| $0.910 |
| $4.53K |
| -$25 |
| Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November? | No | 1.36K | $0.915 | $1.3K | +$59.32 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.964 | $977.5 | +$13.5 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 1K | $0.935 | $935 | $0 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo? | Yes | 567.63 | $0.979 | $550.03 | -$5.76 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.933 | $480.75 | +$14.36 |
 Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | Yes | 501 | $0.914 | $463.43 | +$5.54 |
 Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31? | Roblox | 316 | $0.880 | $308.73 | +$30.65 |
 Will Valve add first CS2 operation by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.787 | $196.3 | +$38.9 |
 Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? | No | 150 | $0.829 | $141.08 | +$16.67 |
 Will USD/BRL hit 4 (Low) in 2026? | No | 115.48 | $0.871 | $58.89 | -$41.73 |
| Will USD/BRL hit 3.75 (Low) in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.876 | $51.85 | -$35.75 |
| Will USD/BRL hit 6.75 (High) in 2026? | No | 42 | $0.930 | $39.69 | +$0.63 |
 Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31? | No | 30 | $0.860 | $27.6 | +$1.8 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo? | Yes | 500.6 | $0.006 | $19.27 | +$16.44 |
 Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31? | No | 20 | $0.690 | $17.3 | +$3.5 |
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Yes| buy |
| 400 |
| $0.920 |
| $368 |
| 1d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.81K | $0.962 | $1.74K | 1d ago |
 Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.35B?Yes | sell | 40.01 | $0.994 | $39.77 | 4d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?No | sell | 57.22 | $0.989 | $56.59 | 6d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?No | sell | 42.78 | $0.989 | $42.31 | 6d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?No | buy | 100 | $0.879 | $87.9 | 6d ago |
 Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.999 | $1.5K | 6d ago |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Yes | buy | 399.97 | $0.994 | $397.57 | 6d ago |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.998 | $1.35K | 6d ago |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.997 | $1.99K | 6d ago |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | 6d ago |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.990 | $56.43 | 6d ago |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Yes | buy | 622.99 | $0.990 | $616.87 | 6d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 311.9 | $0.958 | $298.8 | 7d ago |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | 7d ago |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Yes | buy | 58.43 | $0.899 | $52.55 | 7d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.963 | $1.21K | 8d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 520 | $0.960 | $499.05 | 8d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.960 | $960 | 8d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 3.35K | $0.968 | $3.24K | 8d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.964 | $964 | 8d ago |
 Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?No | buy | 2.18K | $0.999 | $2.18K | 9d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.013 | $2.53 | 10d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.962 | $192.4 | 10d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes | buy | 300.6 | $0.001 | $0.3 | 10d ago |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.860 | $25.8 | 10d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 230.62 | $0.960 | $221.4 | 10d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 14.81 | $0.950 | $14.07 | 10d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 147.27 | $0.950 | $139.91 | 10d ago |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.890 | $89.89 | 10d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes | sell | 71.97 | $0.985 | $70.89 | 11d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.950 | $22.8 | 11d ago |
| Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | 11d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 508.82 | $0.950 | $483.38 | 11d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | 12d ago |
 Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | 12d ago |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 366.71 | $0.990 | $363.04 | 12d ago |
| Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.1 | $0.990 | $0.1 | 12d ago |
| Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.990 | $0.04 | 12d ago |
| Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.15 | $0.990 | $19.95 | 12d ago |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.97 | $0.996 | $41.8 | 12d ago |
| Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 290 | $0.980 | $284.2 | 12d ago |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 225.6 | $0.994 | $224.22 | 12d ago |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 5K | $0.910 | $4.55K | 12d ago |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.829 | $124.41 | 12d ago |
| Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?Roblox | buy | 316 | $0.880 | $278.08 | 12d ago |
| Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.35B?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.750 | $14.99 | 12d ago |
| Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.35B?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 12d ago |
 Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.36T?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | 12d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.