Analytics
Yes is at 1.8%, down 48 points from 50% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 21 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.3% on 24 Oct 2026. The current quote, 1.8%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 2.3% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.6%. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 5.5% on 2 Oct 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Will Valve add first CS2 operation by...?”.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $567.21 since listing. The order book holds $56.26, with a 2.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 217 shares; the largest No position is estuprador with 200.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 3:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 2.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 217.21 |
| estuprador | No | 200 |
| title1 | No | 167.21 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases an operation to CS2 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series. For the purpose of this market, a "CS2 operation" refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include: -A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards. -A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking. -Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-valve-add-first-cs2-operation-by-2026-27
| Solar Summit 0A64 |
| Yes |
| 40 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 20 |
| D222222222 | Yes | 20 |
| rubby1337 | Yes | 20 |
| 4... | Yes | 20 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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