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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20 | $0.830 | $13.2 | -$3.4 | |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.88% in September? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 20.22 | $0.890 | $18 | 7m ago |
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| No |
| 20.01 |
| $0.690 |
| $12.6 |
| -$1.2 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30? | No | 20 | $0.760 | $11.9 | -$3.3 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 20.36 | $0.560 | $11.3 | -$0.1 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.680 | $10.5 | -$3.1 |
Will Drake release a new album by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.770 | $8.8 | -$6.6 |
James Comey charges dropped by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.770 | $8.7 | -$6.7 |
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12? | Yes | 18.94 | $0.850 | $8.62 | -$7.48 |
Will Georgia Tech have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | Yes | 20 | $0.630 | $8.3 | -$4.3 |
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.680 | $8.1 | -$5.5 |
Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava? | No | 19.22 | $0.560 | $7.21 | -$3.55 |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in September? | Yes | 20 | $0.580 | $6.8 | -$4.8 |
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.46% in September? | Yes | 20 | $0.610 | $6.6 | -$5.6 |
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September? | No | 20 | $0.720 | $6.1 | -$8.3 |
Will AC Milan qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 20 | $0.420 | $6 | -$2.4 |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.33% in September? | No | 20 | $0.460 | $4.9 | -$4.3 |
Will Chuba Hubbard have 624.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 20 | $0.390 | $4.5 | -$3.3 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.490 | $4.3 | -$5.5 |
SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans? | No | 20 | $0.440 | $4 | -$4.8 |
Will the Saints win the season series against the Panthers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 20 | $0.350 | $3 | -$4 |
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $2.4 | -$2.6 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | No | 20 | $0.260 | $2.28 | -$2.92 |
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 11, 2026? | No | 3.04 | $0.688 | $2.16 | +$0.07 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in September? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $2.1 | -$2.9 |
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.200 | $1.9 | -$2.1 |
| sell |
| 19.99 |
| $0.250 |
| $5 |
| 7m ago |
Will Jadarian Price have 949.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.650 | $12.99 | 11m ago |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | 12m ago |
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.67% in September?Yes | buy | 21.96 | $0.510 | $11.2 | 16m ago |
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.91 | $0.344 | $7.2 | 17m ago |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | 20m ago |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 20.36 | $0.560 | $11.4 | 25m ago |
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.64% in September?Yes | buy | 20.7 | $0.570 | $11.8 | 26m ago |
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.70% in September?No | buy | 20.36 | $0.550 | $11.2 | 26m ago |
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | 35m ago |
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.65 | $0.310 | $6.4 | 37m ago |
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?No | buy | 20.45 | $0.448 | $9.16 | 44m ago |
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | 49m ago |
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 17.57 | $0.600 | $10.54 | 58m ago |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 20.25 | $0.790 | $16 | 59m ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September?No | buy | 20.46 | $0.870 | $17.8 | 1h ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in September?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.900 | $18.2 | 1h ago |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 21 | $0.200 | $4.2 | 1h ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.03 | $0.580 | $12.2 | 1h ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% before 2027?Yes | buy | 20.89 | $0.450 | $9.4 | 1h ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in September?No | buy | 8.26 | $0.620 | $5.12 | 1h ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in September?No | buy | 12.39 | $0.620 | $7.68 | 1h ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September?No | buy | 20.52 | $0.770 | $15.8 | 1h ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?No | buy | 20.66 | $0.610 | $12.6 | 1h ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?No | buy | 20.6 | $0.670 | $13.8 | 1h ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?No | buy | 20.59 | $0.340 | $7 | 1h ago |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.51% in September?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.840 | $4.45 | 1h ago |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Yes | buy | 20.15 | $0.268 | $5.4 | 1h ago |
| buy | 20.8 | $0.250 | $5.2 | 1h ago |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.56% in September?No | buy | 20.24 | $0.820 | $16.6 | 1h ago |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in September?No | buy | 20.26 | $0.780 | $15.8 | 1h ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.14 | $0.350 | $7.4 | 1h ago |
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | 1h ago |
| sell | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | 1h ago |
| buy | 13.45 | $0.580 | $7.8 | 1h ago |
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% in September?Yes | buy | 20.59 | $0.680 | $14 | 1h ago |
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.61% in September?Yes | buy | 20.29 | $0.680 | $13.8 | 1h ago |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.27 | $0.750 | $15.2 | 1h ago |
Will the Chargers win the season series against the Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | buy | 20.8 | $0.500 | $10.4 | 1h ago |
| buy | 20.6 | $0.670 | $13.8 | 1h ago |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | 1h ago |
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?Yes | buy | 20.28 | $0.715 | $14.5 | 1h ago |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?No | buy | 21.67 | $0.240 | $5.2 | 1h ago |
Will Dak Prescott finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | 1h ago |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | 1h ago |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 7 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | 2h ago |
Will Roma qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.200 | $4.4 | 2h ago |
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.690 | $2.03 | 2h ago |
| buy | 8.7 | $0.570 | $4.96 | 2h ago |