Analytics
Yes is at 27%, down 23 points from 50% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 13% on 12 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 24.5% on 3 Oct 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Will Valve add first CS2 operation by...?”.
$79 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $12.37, with a 48.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is cigarettes with 20 shares; the largest No position is ZhouCD with 40.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 27.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ZhouCD | No | 40 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 20 |
| Medium-Peacock | Yes | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases an operation to CS2 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series. For the purpose of this market, a "CS2 operation" refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include: -A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards. -A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking. -Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-valve-add-first-cs2-operation-by-2026-27
| bZk0Uo |
| Yes |
| 1 |
| Flingflonger | No | 1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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