Analytics
Yes is at 93.5%, up 45 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 3 Sep 2026.
Across the 54 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 93.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 3 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 91.5%; a month before, 84.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 68.5% on 4 Sep 2026.
None by December 25, 2026 is the favourite of the 5 outcomes in “First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?”, ahead of Artificial Inu (AI) at 3.9%.
$92.45K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $66.34K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 415 trades, $36.11K bought Yes and $4.5K bought No; the largest was a $7.23K buy of Yes at 85.0¢.
The largest Yes position is kdsads with 16.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 41.3K. Ten wallets hold 87.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Dec 2026, 59 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 54 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 48.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 93.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 41.31K |
| kdsads | Yes | 16.5K |
| Anjun | Yes | 12.13K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if none of the coins listed below reaches a fully diluted valuation equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000 at any point between the creation of this market and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Fully diluted valuation refers to the figure published by each coin's resolution source, shown as "Fully Diluted Valuation" on CoinGecko and as "FDV" on CoinMarketCap. Circulating supply market cap will not be used. The coins in this event, and their resolution sources, are: - Cash Cat (CASHCAT), Robinhood Chain 0x020bfc650a365f8bb26819deaabf3e21291018b4, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat - Artificial Inu (AI), Robinhood Chain 0x2E8c31162b855A2ffa90F6F8634643Ad6F111e18, CoinMarketCap, https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/artificial-inu-ai/ - The Black Bull (ANSEM), Solana 9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull - NetNet (NET), Robinhood Chain 0xca9c78dd337a67f6e0077f65f5e9218719d30edf, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/netnet A coin reaches the threshold at the first moment its fully diluted valuation, as displayed on its resolution source, is equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000. A momentary crossing by any coin qualifies and will cause this market to resolve to "No", provided it is verifiable from the resolution source or from a consensus of credible reporting. Each coin is judged solely against the source listed for it. Differences in methodology between CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap will not be adjusted for. The primary resolution source for this market will be the source listed above for each coin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing data for a coin, that coin will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.
| cleo. |
| Yes |
| 3.95K |
| alanhutton | Yes | 3K |
| 83offwrf | Yes | 2.11K |
| AiBird | No | 1.6K |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 1.54K |
| DegenerateJanet | Yes | 1.4K |
| gydmasg | Yes | 1.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
