Analytics
Yes is at 1%, down 22 points from 22.5% when the market opened on 9 Jun 2026.
Across the 137 daily closes on record from 9 Jun 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 18 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 14 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.7%; a month before, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 50% on 17 Jun 2026.
$2.66K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $512.73, with a 1.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 31 trades, $18.92 bought Yes and $1.58K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 403 shares; the largest No position is estuprador with 1.6K. Ten wallets hold 91.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 137 points, 9 Jun 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jun 2026 | 22.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 1.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| estuprador | No | 1.59K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 402.72 |
| Faston | Yes | 310.16 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve adds sticker trade-ups to Counter-Strike 2 (CS2) by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, "sticker trade-ups" is defined as an officially supported in-game mechanic that allows players to combine or exchange multiple stickers to receive a higher-tier sticker. The feature must be fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. If the feature is added as a limited-time, temporary, or beta mechanic that is reversed or removed within 48 hours of its introduction, this market will resolve to "No." This market will remain open for 48 hours after a qualifying feature is released. For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-valve-add-sticker-trade-ups-before-november-20260608173609897
| Perypery |
| Yes |
| 131 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 106.68 |
| flexer78 | Yes | 100.01 |
| doudouc | Yes | 100 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 96.6 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 60 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 58.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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