Latest trade
Sep 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:38 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 21 settled positions.
Cavernous-Threat is down $72.46 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-11 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Sep 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:38 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Jun 12, 2026 UTC to Sep 8, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $7.39 | +$6.39 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.095 | $2 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-11 12:33 UTC
Polymarket public position response
24 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 20:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 20:38 UTC
polymarket positions
22 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-11 12:33 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $75.92 and losing ones cost $6.85 across 21 settled positions. 85.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15.63 on “Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $4.8 on “Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 Sep 2026. It has traded 116 markets. Its open positions are worth $24.88 across 24 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 4.17 |
| $0.240 |
| $3.69 |
| +$2.69 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 8.62 | $0.116 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.86 | -$0.14 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.2 | $0.099 | $0.77 | -$1.23 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.29 | $0.233 | $0.71 | -$0.29 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.91 | $0.256 | $0.71 | -$0.29 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.69 | -$0.31 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | Yes | 21.05 | $0.095 | $0.67 | -$1.33 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.6 | -$0.4 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 2.54 | $0.394 | $0.53 | -$0.47 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.45 | -$0.55 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.41 | -$0.59 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.007 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.65 | $0.094 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.09 | -$0.91 |
| buy |
| 8.33 |
| $0.120 |
| $1 |
| Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 30.29 | $0.033 | $1 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.106 | $1 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 89.36 | $0.110 | $9.83 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.155 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.116 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 30?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.609 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 71.67 | $0.014 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.077 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.297 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 203.23 | $0.005 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.91 | $0.256 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 20 | $0.018 | $0.36 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.480 | $4.5 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.322 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.470 | $3 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.660 | $3 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?Yes | buy | 15.9 | $0.050 | $0.8 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.128 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 13?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 13?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.233 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.043 | $0.86 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Knicks vs. SpursKnicks | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.