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Resolved Justin Gaethje on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Justin Gaethje at 79.5%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 26 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 20.5% on 15 Jun 2026 and the low 16.5% on 26 May 2026. $6.99M traded over the market's life.
537 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 6:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 26 May 2026 – 15 Jun 2026, chart shows 12%–24%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 May 2026 | 16.5% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ThisAgain | Ilia Topuria | 200K |
| abouttojump | Ilia Topuria | 155K |
| joblessfinalboss | Ilia Topuria | 150K |
| SammySledge | Ilia Topuria | 140.48K |
| 05143 | Ilia Topuria | 130.78K |
| lluucckkyy | Ilia Topuria | 126.5K |
| BoggsFromShawshank | Ilia Topuria | 116.2K |
| esportsbetter1 | Ilia Topuria | 100K |
| stockpicks | Ilia Topuria | 71.44K |
| freee67thewhale | Ilia Topuria | 65K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Justin Gaethje" if Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Ilia Topuria" if Ilia Topuria is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jus3-ili1-2026-06-14
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