Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 77.17 | $0.907 | $72.93 | +$2.92 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 75.69 | $0.923 | $69.86 | 17d ago |
 |
| No |
| 23.39 |
| $0.855 |
| $21.41 |
| +$1.41 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 22.47 | $0.890 | $21.24 | +$1.24 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20.64 | +$0.64 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 17.78 | $0.900 | $16.53 | +$0.53 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.25 | $0.800 | $4.94 | -$0.06 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $4.79 | -$0.21 |
| buy |
| 17.78 |
| $0.900 |
| $16 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.860 | $5.38 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.890 | $10.68 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-06-16?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | buy | 23.39 | $0.855 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 43.96 | $0.910 | $40 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETDown | sell | 3.84 | $0.680 | $2.61 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETDown | sell | 15 | $0.920 | $13.8 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETDown | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETDown | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 207.6 | $0.860 | $178.54 | May 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 7.29 | $0.978 | $7.13 | May 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.960 | $7 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.02 | $0.985 | $6.91 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp | sell | 7.27 | $0.960 | $6.98 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 9.28 | $0.500 | $4.64 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.68 | $0.790 | $2.91 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.49 | $0.840 | $2.93 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.983 | $6.91 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 22.32 | $0.900 | $20.09 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.969 | $2.01 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by March 31?No | buy | 7.75 | $0.979 | $7.59 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 18.07 | $0.840 | $15.18 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 4.94 | $0.936 | $4.62 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 9.43 | $0.490 | $4.62 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.995 | $5.13 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 7.59 | $0.999 | $7.58 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.991 | $2 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Feb 23, 2026 |