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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 100kt meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.946 | $12.3 | 18d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 15 |
| $0.960 |
| $14.4 |
| 18d ago |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 16 | $0.950 | $15.2 | 18d ago |
 US defaults on debt by 2027?No | sell | 16 | $0.967 | $15.47 | 18d ago |
 Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.998 | $15.97 | 18d ago |
 China coup attempt before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.955 | $16.24 | 18d ago |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.930 | $16.74 | 18d ago |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.920 | $17.48 | 18d ago |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.988 | $17.78 | 18d ago |
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | sell | 28.8 | $0.976 | $28.11 | 18d ago |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 31 | $0.972 | $30.13 | 18d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 33 | $0.962 | $31.75 | 18d ago |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 32.11 | $0.986 | $31.66 | 18d ago |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 48 | $0.973 | $46.7 | 18d ago |
 EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 34 | $0.976 | $33.18 | 18d ago |
 Fed abolished before 2027?No | sell | 51 | $0.980 | $49.98 | 18d ago |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 58 | $0.980 | $56.84 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | buy | 8.8 | $0.977 | $8.6 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.958 | $17.24 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.957 | $17.23 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.903 | $13.55 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.750 | $14.25 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.860 | $15.48 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.955 | $17.19 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.960 | $16.32 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 18 | $0.992 | $17.86 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Fed abolished before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.964 | $17.35 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.973 | $17.51 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.977 | $17.59 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.950 | $15.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.997 | $15.95 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.870 | $14.79 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.947 | $17.05 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.979 | $15.66 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.940 | $14.1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| 100kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.960 | $12.48 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 112 | $0.996 | $111.55 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 108 | $0.999 | $107.89 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 115 | $0.998 | $114.77 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 115 | $0.999 | $114.88 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 108 | $0.989 | $106.81 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 108 | $0.992 | $107.14 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 107 | $0.994 | $106.36 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 110 | $0.996 | $109.56 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | sell | 108 | $0.995 | $107.46 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.996 | $108.56 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 111 | $0.993 | $110.28 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 111 | $0.995 | $110.45 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 115 | $0.992 | $114.08 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 115 | $0.994 | $114.31 | Nov 27, 2025 |