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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 9.79K | $0.943 | $9.36K | +$122.39 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.991 | $495.5 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 4.9K |
| $0.951 |
| $4.66K |
| +$0.79 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.4K | $0.408 | $3.22K | +$601.52 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3.4K | $0.927 | $3.18K | +$26.01 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.63K | $0.968 | $2.51K | -$37.72 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.01K | $0.992 | $2K | +$7.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.780 | $1.84K | +$280 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 1.61K | $0.972 | $1.6K | +$29.29 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.4K | $0.263 | $1.49K | -$456.93 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.977 | $1.48K | +$10.26 |
 Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.46K | $0.950 | $1.4K | +$17.51 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.2K | $0.928 | $1.13K | +$20 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 1K | $0.962 | $972.98 | +$9.51 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.01K | $0.850 | $944.92 | +$85.9 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.950 | $938.5 | -$11.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.940 | $935 | -$5 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | No | 717.04 | $0.950 | $677.6 | -$3.58 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.44K | $0.198 | $586.82 | +$103.7 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 804.64 | $0.759 | $571.29 | -$39.28 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 600 | $0.890 | $543 | +$9 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 543.75 | $0.960 | $529.07 | +$7.32 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | 500 | $0.991 | $496.75 | +$1.25 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 503.16 | $0.910 | $480.52 | +$22.64 |
 Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.960 | $477.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.900 | $472.5 | +$22.5 |
| buy |
| 600 |
| $0.996 |
| $597.6 |
| 9d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.993 | $496.5 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 506.79 | $0.991 | $502.23 | 10d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.980 | $980 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 127.55 | $0.992 | $126.53 | 10d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.985 | $492.5 | 21d ago |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 312.67 | $0.957 | $299.23 | 21d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?No | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | 21d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?No | buy | 217.04 | $0.950 | $206.19 | 21d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.940 | $940 | 21d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | 21d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 23.22 | $0.965 | $22.41 | 21d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.960 | $480 | 21d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.64K | $0.979 | $2.58K | 21d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 564.32 | $0.982 | $554.16 | 21d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.900 | $450 | 21d ago |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.954 | $286.2 | 22d ago |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.954 | $477 | 22d ago |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 686.62 | $0.960 | $659.16 | 22d ago |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 852.37 | $0.953 | $812.31 | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.81K | $0.982 | $1.78K | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 503.16 | $0.910 | $457.88 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.850 | $859.02 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 232.77 | $0.920 | $214.15 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.946 | $949.59 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 2.01K | $0.946 | $1.9K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.970 | $1.94K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.978 | $293.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?Yes | buy | 300.72 | $0.940 | $282.68 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-04 House seat?Yes | buy | 200.64 | $0.920 | $184.59 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.750 | $225 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 200.8 | $0.900 | $180.72 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.978 | $489 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No | buy | 252.12 | $0.840 | $211.78 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 900.86 | $0.976 | $879.23 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 301.32 | $0.890 | $268.17 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 504.64 | $0.770 | $388.57 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.962 | $963.46 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 500.75 | $0.970 | $485.73 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.970 | $485 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 800 | $0.950 | $760 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 679 | $0.280 | $190.12 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.977 | $977 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 723 | $0.141 | $101.94 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.413 | $206.5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.141 | $70.5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 700 | $0.978 | $684.66 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 1.38K | $0.947 | $1.31K | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 318.92 | $0.963 | $307.12 | Jul 17, 2026 |