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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Faithless elector in US election?Yes | buy | 209.48 | $0.410 | $85.98 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 60 |
| $0.720 |
| $43.2 |
| Nov 27, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?No | buy | 102.78 | $0.810 | $83.25 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Faithless elector in US election?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.370 | $83.25 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Faithless elector in US election?Yes | buy | 267.54 | $0.393 | $105.23 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | sell | 117.84 | $0.893 | $105.23 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 117.84 | $0.700 | $82.49 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 82.5 | $0.981 | $80.93 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Yes | sell | 120.11 | $0.104 | $12.44 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Yes | sell | 107 | $0.110 | $11.77 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Yes | buy | 227.12 | $0.104 | $23.62 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?No | buy | 12.65 | $0.620 | $7.84 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.540 | $0.89 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.38 | $0.650 | $0.9 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25.13 | $0.450 | $11.31 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.870 | $11.31 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.64 | $0.560 | $3.16 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.24 | $0.619 | $5.72 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.38 | $0.840 | $1.16 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before the election?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.007 | $1.17 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.84 | $0.824 | $6.46 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?Yes | sell | 9.06 | $0.032 | $0.29 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Georgia rally on October 28?Yes | buy | 6.16 | $0.730 | $4.5 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Will Biden resign before the election?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.597 | $1 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.661 | $4 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 69.41 | $0.110 | $7.64 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 69.42 | $0.120 | $8.33 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will LSDP win the most seats in the 2024 Lithuania legislative election?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.880 | $2.2 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "abortion" during Fox News interview?Yes | buy | 2.43 | $0.490 | $1.19 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.68 | $0.599 | $4 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,400 on October 18?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Oct 15, 2024 |
 Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4 | Oct 15, 2024 |
 Netanyahu out by October 31?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.973 | $3 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Iran strike on US military before November?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during California rally on October 12?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.560 | $4 | Oct 11, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Oct 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Oct 11, 2024 |
 Diddy sex tape released before November?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Oct 10, 2024 |
| Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Oct 10, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6 | Oct 10, 2024 |
 Will Gerald Murnane win the Nobel prize in literature?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Oct 9, 2024 |
| Will someone else win the Nobel prize in literature?Yes | buy | 20.38 | $0.413 | $8.41 | Oct 9, 2024 |
| Will Can Xue win the Nobel prize in literature?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 Annual inflation above 2.2% in September?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.850 | $1.24 | Oct 8, 2024 |