Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 82% on 14 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 45 daily closes on record from 14 Sep 2024 to 28 Oct 2024, the highest close was 99.9% on 28 Oct 2024 and the lowest 75% on 15 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 75% on 15 Oct 2024. $104.36K traded over the market's life.
83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 29, 3:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 14 Sep 2024 – 28 Oct 2024, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2024 | 82.0% |
| 28 Oct 2024 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.58K |
| jntnsns | No | 444.44 |
| IamPeaceDuke | No | 258.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Lithuanian legislative elections are are scheduled for October 13, 2024, with a potential second round on October 27. This market will resolve to "Yes" if LSDP (Social Democratic Party of Lithuania, Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija) wins the most seats in the Seimas as a result of the next Lithuanian legislative election. If voting in the next Lithuanian legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the TS-LKD, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Lithuanian Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-party-wins-the-most-seats-in-lithuanian-election
| Yes |
| 21.74 |
| 0KX | Yes | 0.09 |
| takiina | No | 0.06 |
| Schorle65 | Yes | 0.05 |
| tobias. | Yes | 0.05 |
| dfswrsms | Yes | 0.04 |
| anpol | Yes | 0.04 |
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