Latest trade
Nov 2, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:17 AM UTC.
Analytics
Lucky-Guess has made $2.81 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 48 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-11-02 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Nov 2, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:17 AM UTC.
$1.5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 96.0% were buys. They run from Oct 2, 2024 UTC to Nov 2, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dodgers vs. Blue JaysDodgers | sell | 29 | $0.610 | $17.69 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-11-02 06:24 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 05:17 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 05:17 UTC
polymarket positions
50 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-11-02 06:24 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $74.29 and losing ones cost $56.58 across 48 settled positions. 52.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $25.71 on “World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 5” (Dodgers); the largest loss, $20.8 on “Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 2 Nov 2025. It has traded 49 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 29.41 |
| $0.170 |
| $5 |
| Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.198 | $9.9 | Dec 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Nov 14, 2024 UTC |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Nov 9, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.099 | $4.95 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 49.26 | $0.450 | $22.17 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 49.26 | $0.406 | $20 | Nov 1, 2024 UTC |
 Will the AP call the election by November 5?No | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Nov 1, 2024 UTC |
 World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 5Dodgers | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Oct 31, 2024 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.130 | $4 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?No | buy | 45.13 | $0.934 | $42.15 | Oct 28, 2024 UTC |
 Israel military response against Iran in October?Yes | buy | 9.75 | $0.513 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Oct 20, 2024 UTC |
 Kamala Harris blowout victory?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Oct 20, 2024 UTC |
 Trump blowout victory?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Oct 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Oct 20, 2024 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Oct 10, 2024 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Oct 5, 2024 UTC |
 Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | buy | 11.83 | $0.700 | $8.28 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will JD Vance say "Illegal alien" during the debate?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "rig" or "rigged" during the debate?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "Helene" during the debate?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "Iran" during the debate?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "Israel" during the debate?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will Tim Walz say "Helene" during the debate?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Iran" during the debate?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Israel" during the debate?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Concept" during the debate?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Obamacare", "ACA" or "Affordable Care Act" during the debate?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Dog" during the debate?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Haitian" during the debate?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Racist" during the debate?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Coach" during the debate?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Couch" during the debate?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Tampon" during the debate?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Trump" 30 or more times during the debate?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Football" during the debate?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Teacher" during the debate?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "gun" during the debate?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Racist" during the debate?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Weird "or "Weirdo" during the debate?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Abortion" 5 or more times during the debate?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "Tampon" during the debate?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz say "abortion" during the debate?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "Illegal alien" during the debate?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "Cat" during the debate?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "Fentanyl" during the debate?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "Trans" during the debate?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Oct 2, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.