Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 92.5%. Yes opened at 84.5% on 1 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2024 to 2 Oct 2024, the highest close was 92.5% on 2 Oct 2024 and the lowest 84.5% on 1 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 92.5% on 2 Oct 2024. $17.79K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 3:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 1 Oct 2024 – 2 Oct 2024, chart shows 80%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2024 | 84.5% |
| 2 Oct 2024 | 92.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Eugene123 | No | 22.22 |
| nedeshevka | Yes | 0.03 |
| AntonasGuoga | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "Israel" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Israel" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the country in the Middle East. If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the debate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-tim-walz-say-during-the-vp-debate
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