Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86%. Yes opened at 28% on 25 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 32% on 30 Oct 2024 and the lowest 14% on 6 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 30.5% on 29 Oct 2024. $40.4K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 6:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 25 Oct 2024 – 6 Nov 2024, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2024 | 28.0% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 14.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HelpfulFrog87 | Yes | 176.79 |
| Piratecat | Yes | 20.83 |
| JPoteet | Yes | 12.5 |
| enochsmiles | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/election-called-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| viembaridit1980 | No | 0.09 |
| trudisemad1987 | No | 0.07 |
| Energetic-Diaphragm | No | 0.04 |
| adabpeega1980 | No | 0.04 |
| youdoit | No | 0.02 |
