Will Tim Walz say "Couch" during the debate?

politicsResolved

No, settled Oct 2, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$63.2K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 2, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 25 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 25 Sep 2024 to 2 Oct 2024, the highest close was 45% on 25 Sep 2024 and the lowest 6.5% on 26 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 6.5% on 26 Sep 2024. $63.22K traded over the market's life.

29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 3:56 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 25 Sep 2024 – 2 Oct 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Sep 2024	45.0%
2 Oct 2024	14.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
DEMONCRAT	Yes	3.45K
drater	Yes	905.86
Jdizzlw	Yes	600
BUSHHHY	Yes	600

10 of 29 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "couch" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "couch" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a piece of furniture primarily used for sitting on. If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-tim-walz-say-during-the-vp-debate

Dates

Event starts

Sep 24, 2024 UTC

Resolved

Oct 2, 2024 UTC