Latest trade
Apr 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 11:32 AM UTC.
Analytics
definance is down $23.02 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 30 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 11:32 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 45 markets; 92.0% were buys. They run from Oct 13, 2025 UTC to Apr 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-05 10:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 11:32 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 11:32 UTC
polymarket positions
32 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 10:50 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $5.24 and losing ones cost $2.26 across 30 settled positions. 90% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.79 on “Will the Washington Commanders make the playoffs?” (No); the largest loss, $0.99 on “Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Apr 2026. It has traded 54 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 9.52 |
| $0.003 |
| $0.03 |
| Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.392 | $0.7 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.590 | $1.37 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?Yes | buy | 63.99 | $0.991 | $63.41 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.991 | $5.96 | Nov 3, 2025 UTC |
 Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Buccaneers vs. LionsBuccaneers | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Raiders vs. ChiefsChiefs | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Steelers vs. BengalsSteelers | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Washington Commanders make the playoffs?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Houston Texans make the playoffs?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens make the playoffs?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts make the playoffs?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Buffalo Bills make the playoffs?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.787 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC Championship?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Bills vs. FalconsBills | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.105 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.944 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Nasdaq (NDAQ) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.937 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 108 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.