
Resolved No on 18 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 2 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 47% on 6 Oct 2025 and the low 10% on 20 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 33% on 7 Oct 2025. $594.58K traded over the market's life.
136 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 263 points · 2 May 2025 – 18 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2025 | 17.5% |
| 18 Jan 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 110.03K |
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 13.75K |
| 123457889 | Yes | 10.22K |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the AFC Championship for the 2025-2026 NFL season.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/afc-champion-1
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| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 8.39K |
| thedoctord | Yes | 7.97K |
| rated | Yes | 5.27K |
| paspor | Yes | 4K |
| Sniper101 | Yes | 4K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 3.38K |
| TKJPN | Yes | 3.09K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard