Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.06 |
| $0.939 |
| $1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.960 | $1.05 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.898 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.957 | $1.03 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Inter win on 2025-05-06?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | May 6, 2025 |
 Magic vs. CelticsCeltics | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will 'Opus' gross less than 3m on opening weekend?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Hawks vs. PistonsPistons | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Dariush vs. MoicanoMoicano | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 RASMR vs. ThreadguyRasmr | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.879 | $2 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will it take Jerry between 1000-1499 strokes to hit a Hole in One?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Dolphins vs. BillsDolphins | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Cardinals vs. RamsRams | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.740 | $0.74 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will $BTC reach 70k before September?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.150 | $0.5 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 $BTC dips below $45k before September?Yes | buy | 0.37 | $0.410 | $0.15 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Shark" in August?Yes | buy | 0.54 | $0.370 | $0.2 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.24 | $0.971 | $0.23 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 US bank failure by October 31?Yes | buy | 0.86 | $0.350 | $0.3 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 U.S. Recession in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.51 | $0.390 | $0.2 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.930 | $0.1 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS by August 15?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Will France win Gold in Women's Basketball?No | buy | 0.36 | $0.969 | $0.35 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Will Canada win Gold in Men's Basketball?No | buy | 0.61 | $0.950 | $0.58 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 |