Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 31 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2024 to 16 Aug 2024, the highest close was 50.5% on 31 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 26% on 2 Aug 2024. $61.21K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 17, 3:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 31 Jul 2024 – 16 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2024 | 50.5% |
| 16 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fab768a91f08a1AF60abCaaC0143a24168697DB4 | Yes | 1.98K |
| sneeedums | Yes | 106.71 |
| Yellow-Deodorant | Yes | 28.57 |
| mili | No | 1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NASA astronauts Suni Williams and Butch Wilmore depart the International Space Station (ISS) by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 15, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The astronauts will be considered to have departed if they are if they are on a spacecraft which has undocked from the ISS and begun its return journey to Earth. The resolution source will be official announcements from NASA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/stranded-astronauts-depart-on-boeing-starliner-by-aug-15
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| anon12394 | Yes | 0.34 |
| story | Yes | 0.08 |
| zhangcong3 | Yes | 0.04 |
| greatking | Yes | 0.04 |
| stillaron | Yes | 0.04 |
| wetrytomakemoney | Yes | 0.04 |
