$BTC dips below $45k before September?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Sep 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$602.7K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 1, 2024 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 7% on 30 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 34.5% on 6 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 34.5% on 6 Aug 2024. $602.66K traded over the market's life.

101 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 12:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 30 Jul 2024 – 1 Sep 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Jul 2024	7.0%
1 Sep 2024	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Colossal-Fritter	Yes	9.95K
Lazy-Alphabet	Yes	3.04K
rashad94	Yes	3K
felixUUU	Yes	1.51K

10 of 101 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin BTC-USDT between 2024/07/29 10:00 and 2024/08/31 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price of 44,999.99 or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC-USDT "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” candles selected on the top bar. To see the "Low" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "Low" at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC-USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.