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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 2.04 | $0.930 | $2.03 | +$0.13 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.930 | $1.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 3 |
| $0.990 |
| $2.97 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.97 | $0.991 | $2.94 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.970 | $1.8 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.83 | $0.953 | $1.74 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.951 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 4–11?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 2.15 | $0.981 | $2.11 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.026 | $0.26 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Ye banned on X in February?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will ECB lower interest rates by 50bps in January 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Celtics vs. MagicCeltics | buy | 0.37 | $0.820 | $0.3 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?No | buy | 0.42 | $0.950 | $0.4 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will 'A Different Man' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No | buy | 0.33 | $0.910 | $0.3 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 0.94 | $0.640 | $0.6 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.3 | $0.987 | $0.3 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Gladiator II gross between $60-67m on opening weekend?Yes | sell | 32.09 | $0.050 | $1.6 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?Yes | buy | 0.96 | $0.520 | $0.5 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Solana above $135 on September 20?Yes | buy | 0.14 | $0.730 | $0.1 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.970 | $0.25 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Hezbollah enters Israel in September?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.950 | $0.25 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?No | buy | 0.34 | $0.890 | $0.3 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Iran military response before October?No | buy | 0.33 | $0.910 | $0.3 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump be Speaker by October 1?No | buy | 0.3 | $0.997 | $0.3 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump lead by 0.5 or more points on September 20?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.004 | $0.1 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 0.42 | $0.476 | $0.2 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,500 on August 16?Yes | buy | 0.39 | $0.760 | $0.3 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| Solana above $150 on August 16?Yes | buy | 0.56 | $0.630 | $0.35 | Aug 11, 2024 |
 US GDP declines in Q3 2024?No | buy | 0.45 | $0.880 | $0.4 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 0.27 | $0.970 | $0.26 | Aug 11, 2024 |
 Will FTX payouts start in Q3 2024?No | buy | 0.33 | $0.979 | $0.32 | Aug 11, 2024 |
 US inauguration on January 20?Yes | buy | 0.34 | $0.961 | $0.33 | Aug 11, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris blowout victory?No | buy | 0.38 | $0.800 | $0.3 | Aug 11, 2024 |