Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 23 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 59 daily closes on record from 23 Nov 2024 to 20 Jan 2025, the highest close was 91.5% on 5 Dec 2024 and the lowest 1.3% on 13 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 77% on 3 Dec 2024. $381.25K traded over the market's life.
86 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 11:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 23 Nov 2024 – 20 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2024 | 37.5% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 10.95K |
| moneymakermars | Yes | 325 |
| greenflash1820 | Yes | 258.66 |
On November 21, 2024, Matt Gaetz announced that he would be withdrawing himself from consideration for the position of Attorney General after having previously been announced as Trump’s nominee. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one additional individual nominated by Donald Trump for a cabinet-level position requiring Senate confirmation is withdrawn by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. Any individual who Trump has announced an intention to nominate will be considered nominated. Similarly, announcements from the nominee or Trump or one of his representatives that the nominee will be withdrawn will qualify for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-another-trump-cabinet-nominee-be-withdrawn-before-the-inauguration
| Yes |
| 223.72 |
| g128 | Yes | 180 |
| cheerylarkins | Yes | 171.14 |
| TRUMPBROTHER | Yes | 47.62 |
| Ronja | Yes | 24.65 |
| Kermitbets | Yes | 12.64 |
| SamVO | Yes | 10.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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