Yes is at 30.5%, down 17 points from 47.5% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 22 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 47.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 14 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 28.5%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 36.5% on 3 Oct 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?”.
$61.52K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $33.55K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 117 trades, $3.53K bought Yes and $10.18K bought No; the largest was a $2.45K sell of No at 74.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Debosnys with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is 0xdc3E831cad with 735. Ten wallets hold 93.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2029.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 12:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 47.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 30.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Debosnys | Yes | 1.14K |
| 0xdc3E831cad | No | 735.21 |
| ScottyNooo | No | 700 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Texas enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state. Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions. Conditions on the resumption or termination of a suspension do not make a measure one that permits subject to conditions; a measure that suspends approvals, permitting, construction, or interconnection until a specified condition is satisfied qualifies. Enactment occurs when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, approval at a statewide referendum election, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes can be enacted. For an initiated or referred statute or constitutional amendment, or other voter referendum, the relevant law is considered to have been enacted on the election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effect. Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment. Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force. A provision removed by line-item veto is not enacted unless the veto is overridden as to that item. The operative text of the measure at enactment controls; provisions amended out before enactment do not qualify. The moratorium provision must be mandatory on its face. A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify. A statute that directs suspension of approvals or interconnection upon a specified condition qualifies only if the condition is objectively determinable and is not deferred to be determined by the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings. This market resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date. Resolution will not be affected by failure to implement a law, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry that follows a relevant enactment, or an effective date that comes after the date of enactment. The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| AJSV |
| Yes |
| 393.86 |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Yes | 347 |
| Mustafalafel | No | 333 |
| lissartter | Yes | 183.55 |
| Quiet Pulse 5B82 | No | 169.56 |
| ghorrock | No | 168.51 |
| Dapsy | No | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/texas-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260928
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