Analytics

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares | Avg entry | Cost basis | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quiet Atlas E1D6 | Yes | 7K | 0.1% | $6.99 | Oct 3, 9:16 PM UTC |
| Rapid Voyager 266E | Yes | 1K | 0.1% | $1 | Oct 2, 8:07 PM UTC |
| sisyphos | Yes | 869.5 | 14.7% | $127.88 | |
| Gorgeous-Spelling | Yes | 554.05 | 51.5% | $285.25 | |
| Schwarzerfalke | No | 515.52 | 77.6% | $400 | |
| gabis | No | 441.07 | 86.4% | $380.88 | Mar 9, 3:35 PM UTC |
| tonholo | Yes | 405 | 26.6% | $107.92 | |
| Incomparable-Shaker | Yes | 377.62 | 5.3% | $20 | Apr 15, 10:21 PM UTC |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 310.71 | 1.3% | $4 | Aug 28, 7:47 AM UTC |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 300 | 7.8% | $23.3 | |
| banan | Yes | 256.13 | 23.4% | $60 | |
| JoeDirtBuffett | Yes | 230.77 | 1.3% | $3 | |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 | 0.1% | $0.15 | |
| Cautious-Emitter | No | 146.54 | 60.9% | $89.29 | |
| corretus | Yes | 135.98 | 25.2% | $34.28 | |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 135.43 | 3.7% | $5.01 | |
| darkguido | Yes | 119.46 | 53.6% | $64.1 | |
| guDy | Yes | 102.07 | 9.8% | $10 | Mar 6, 3:59 AM UTC |
| fm14 | Yes | 100 | 3.5% | $3.5 | |
| akunai | Yes | 100 | 0.1% | $0.1 | |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 100 | 0.1% | $0.1 | |
| destropyer | Yes | 77 | 19.5% | $15.03 | |
| daroghi | Yes | 60.01 | 13.9% | $8.33 | Apr 15, 5:05 AM UTC |
| Scared-Talk | Yes | 54.05 | 37.0% | $20 | |
| Ulises666 | Yes | 49 | 2.0% | $0.98 | Sep 11, 9:34 PM UTC |
| Innocent-Hydrocarbon | Yes | 47.16 | 4.2% | $1.98 | |
| Crimson Maven 99FF | Yes | 42.84 | 3.6% | $1.55 | Apr 8, 3:49 AM UTC |
| Unused-Overcoat | Yes | 35.93 | 55.7% | $20 | |
| Royal Ledger 9B08 | Yes | 33 | 3.2% | $1.02 | May 3, 6:14 PM UTC |
| Royal Maven 3945 | Yes | 33 | 3.2% | $1.02 | May 3, 5:59 PM UTC |
| Amber Vector 6B99 | Yes | 33 | 3.2% | $1.02 | May 3, 5:37 PM UTC |
| Silver Kestrel 71A9 | Yes | 33 | 3.2% | $1.02 | May 3, 5:48 PM UTC |
| Emerald Raven 6F33 | Yes | 32 | 3.3% | $1.02 | May 3, 6:22 PM UTC |
| Crimson Maven 2EB4 | Yes | 32 | 3.3% | $1.02 | May 3, 6:47 PM UTC |
| Solar Summit DE36 | Yes | 31 | 3.4% | $1.02 | May 3, 7:42 PM UTC |
| Royal Orbit 6E0C | Yes | 31 | 3.4% | $1.02 | May 3, 7:39 PM UTC |
| Whole-Fiberglass | Yes | 30 | 38.0% | $11.4 | |
| Keen Orbit F468 | Yes | 30 | 3.1% | $0.9 | May 3, 5:27 PM UTC |
| Jade Pulse 45DF | Yes | 29 | 3.6% | $1.01 | May 3, 11:50 PM UTC |
| Keen Signal 0433 | Yes | 28 | 3.8% | $1.04 | May 3, 10:26 PM UTC |
| Lunar Scout ADF2 | Yes | 28 | 3.8% | $1.04 | May 3, 9:46 PM UTC |
| Misty Beacon 4A97 | Yes | 28 | 3.8% | $1.04 | May 3, 9:41 PM UTC |
| Crimson Vector DD57 | Yes | 28 | 3.7% | $1.01 | May 3, 7:58 PM UTC |
| Royal Ledger 917E | Yes | 28 | 3.7% | $1.01 | May 4, 4:58 AM UTC |
| Indigo Voyager B712 | Yes | 28 | 3.8% | $1.04 | May 3, 10:24 PM UTC |
| Rapid Falcon DE85 | Yes | 28 | 3.7% | $1.01 | May 4, 2:53 AM UTC |
| Keen Sphinx 9071 | Yes | 28 | 3.7% | $1.01 | May 3, 11:24 PM UTC |
| Azure Oracle D852 | Yes | 28 | 3.7% | $1.01 | May 4, 4:27 AM UTC |
| Neon Comet D233 | Yes | 28 | 3.7% | $1.01 | May 4, 3:20 AM UTC |
| Solar Vector 6B3E | Yes | 28 | 3.7% | $1.01 | May 3, 8:07 PM UTC |
| Misty Tide CEC9 | Yes | 28 | 3.8% | $1.04 | May 3, 10:13 PM UTC |
| Indigo Quasar 31AF | Yes | 28 | 3.8% | $1.04 | May 3, 9:43 PM UTC |
| Amber Voyager 3740 | Yes | 28 | 3.7% | $1.01 | May 4, 3:06 AM UTC |
| Violet Horizon B443 | Yes | 28 | 3.7% | $1.01 | May 4, 3:29 AM UTC |
| Coral Harbor AB5F | Yes | 28 | 3.7% | $1.01 | May 3, 10:57 PM UTC |
| Amber Quasar 46BA | Yes | 28 | 3.7% | $1.01 | May 4, 2:57 AM UTC |
| Royal Beacon F582 | Yes | 28 | 3.7% | $1.01 | May 3, 7:44 PM UTC |
| Cosmic Orbit 2DCF | Yes | 28 | 3.8% | $1.04 | May 3, 9:20 PM UTC |
| Swift Oracle 91A1 | Yes | 28 | 3.7% | $1.01 | May 3, 8:51 PM UTC |
| Lunar Meteor 26D0 | Yes | 28 | 3.7% | $1.01 | May 3, 11:33 PM UTC |
| Sptaindio | Yes | 28 | 8.9% | $2.49 | Mar 4, 2:42 PM UTC |
| Silver Tide 04C8 | Yes | 28 | 3.8% | $1.04 | May 3, 9:12 PM UTC |
| Gentle-Bellows | Yes | 27.93 | 17.9% | $5 | |
| SFormicola26 | No | 25.06 | 79.8% | $20 | |
| Neon Pulse 22C9 | Yes | 23 | 3.6% | $0.8 | May 4, 2:50 AM UTC |
| PadreMaronno | Yes | 22.28 | 52.2% | $11.63 | |
| chatgpt.com | No | 20.1 | 68.0% | $13.67 | |
| JakeBeez | Yes | 20 | 10.0% | $2 | |
| Lively-Icy | Yes | 20 | 25.0% | $5 | |
| jfkjdfj3 | Yes | 20 | 0.1% | $0.02 | |
| a5533 | Yes | 19.9 | 0.1% | $0.02 | |
| ghorrock | Yes | 18.41 | 0.2% | $0.04 | |
| clausemaster | Yes | 17.04 | 4.9% | $0.83 | |
| aqua54 | Yes | 16.22 | 74.0% | $12 | |
| Jade Harbor 91C2 | Yes | 16 | 2.6% | $0.4 | May 3, 5:19 PM UTC |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 | 0.1% | $0.01 | |
| Amber Sphinx BB5F | Yes | 13.7 | 3.3% | $0.44 | May 3, 6:54 PM UTC |
| Tidy-Rumor | Yes | 12 | 17.9% | $2.15 | |
| Jade Meteor C558 | Yes | 10.01 | 0.2% | $0.02 | |
| ElectionBetter1234 | Yes | 10 | 0.2% | $0.02 | |
| PPMT | Yes | 7.91 | 3.0% | $0.24 | Jun 30, 9:16 AM UTC |
| Amber Horizon 0681 | Yes | 7.41 | 18.9% | $1.4 | |
| TraderRebateCOM | Yes | 7 | 21.9% | $1.53 | |
| Tananan | Yes | 6.94 | 28.8% | $2 | |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 | 0.1% | $0.01 | |
| entringer | Yes | 5.92 | 16.9% | $1 | |
| Celebrated-Howard | Yes | 5.1 | 0.3% | $0.02 | |
| Serious-Motivation-Discrepancy | Yes | 5.05 | 1.0% | $0.05 | |
| jjeeesusssus | Yes | 5 | 5.2% | $0.26 | |
| Misty Summit 628B | Yes | 5 | 3.7% | $0.18 | May 3, 9:12 PM UTC |
| Yamaraja2 | Yes | 5 | 3.4% | $0.17 | |
| Bold Horizon 6D3D | No | 5 | 89.0% | $4.45 | |
| thepolwinner | Yes | 4.12 | 12.8% | $0.53 | |
| Golden Scout A8D3 | Yes | 4 | 3.7% | $0.14 | May 4, 5:19 AM UTC |
| Dead-Employment | No | 2.74 | 73.0% | $2 | |
| baugusto | No | 2.72 | 89.8% | $2.44 | |
| Botafogudo | Yes | 2.56 | 39.1% | $1 | |
| Glass-Pilot | No | 2.1 | 95.2% | $2 | Mar 26, 5:20 PM UTC |
| Coral Oracle 4399 | Yes | 2 | 4.8% | $0.1 | Apr 3, 10:45 PM UTC |
| Ripe-Chess | Yes | 1.67 | 60.0% | $1 | |
| Puluca | Yes | 1.61 | 62.0% | $1 | |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 1.18 | 4.5% | $0.05 | Apr 15, 1:12 PM UTC |
| 26lkkdasdsa | Yes | 1.1 | 7.7% | $0.09 | Mar 8, 9:42 AM UTC |
| blessedshirt | Yes | 1.01 | 50.0% | $0.51 | Sep 24, 8:16 PM UTC |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 1 | 4.1% | $0.04 | |
| Qualified-Dwell | Yes | 0.57 | 32.0% | $0.18 | |
| pnmdpqomwc | No | 0.52 | 90.9% | $0.47 | Mar 9, 6:04 AM UTC |
| wladimirostrovsky | Yes | 0.4 | 4.3% | $0.02 | |
| 63sdf | Yes | 0.26 | 3.0% | $0.01 | Jun 26, 11:43 AM UTC |
| JustBot | No | 0.14 | 85.8% | $0.12 |
| Trader | Holding value |
|---|---|
| Schwarzerfalke | $515.52 |
| gabis | $441.07 |
| Cautious-Emitter | $146.54 |
Start here: the 25 October runoff, the polls, the Polymarket odds and the results, in one guide.
Why a candidate's poll share and market price measure different things, and how to read them side by side.
When the count begins on 25 October, and where the electoral court publishes the official results.
| $25.06 |
| chatgpt.com | $20.1 |
| Bold Horizon 6D3D | $5 |
| Dead-Employment | $2.74 |
| baugusto | $2.72 |
| Glass-Pilot | $2.1 |
| pnmdpqomwc | $0.52 |
| JustBot | $0.14 |
| gpunfv1 | $0.03 |