Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 3.76 | $0.695 | $3.73 | +$1.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No | buy | 18 | $0.970 | $17.46 | May 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.81 |
| $0.875 |
| $1.59 |
| +$0.01 |
 Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.984 | $1.12 | -$1.07 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.81 | $0.966 | $0.79 | +$0.01 |
 Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 0.66 | $0.951 | $0.64 | +$0.01 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 0.36 | $0.520 | $0.17 | -$0.02 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 0.12 | $0.880 | $0.12 | +$0.01 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 0.24 | $0.190 | $0.01 | -$0.04 |
 Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.043 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
 Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.36 | $0.032 | $0 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.965 |
| $19.3 |
| May 22, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.069 | $1.38 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 20 | $0.931 | $18.62 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.971 | $4.85 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?No | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes | sell | 8.69 | $0.690 | $6 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.092 | $0.46 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No | buy | 8.8 | $0.320 | $2.82 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 9 | $0.010 | $0.09 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.990 | $18.81 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 20 | $0.359 | $7.18 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.567 | $0.06 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 24.51 | $0.860 | $21.08 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.390 | $11.7 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 27 | $0.830 | $22.41 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.170 | $1.53 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.995 | $19.9 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.030 | $0.24 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.995 | $19.9 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.170 | $3.23 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 9 | $0.830 | $7.47 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.830 | $41.5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.082 | $0.41 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?No | sell | 5 | $0.889 | $4.45 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.334 | $1.67 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 20 | $0.811 | $16.22 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?No | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.309 | $1.55 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.494 | $2.47 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | buy | 6.97 | $0.240 | $1.67 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | sell | 31.34 | $0.400 | $12.54 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?No | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?No | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Oct 19, 2025 |